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USDCAD Tilts Lower After Soft ISM Report

CANADA
  • USDCAD has drifted lower since the weak ISM report, touching a low of 1.3231 but still within Friday’s range amidst holiday-thinned trade with Canada Day.
  • It leaves CAD mid-pack on the day, underperforming high beta majors and outperforming elsewhere.
  • A bearish trend for the pair sees support at 1.3190 (Jun 28 low) before the key 1.3117 (Jun 27 low) whilst an extension of the corrective cycle could open 1.3277 (20-day EMA).
  • Over the weekend, GS rolled forward their USDCAD forecasts for 3, 6 and 12 months out to 1.34, 1.30, and 1.28 from 1.38, 1.34, 1.28 previously.

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