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USDCLP Sees Large Reversal, Turns Negative On Session

LATAM FX
  • Despite rising as much as 1.2% in early trade on Tuesday to print a session high of 903.24, USDCLP has fully reversed this move and now sits marginally softer on the day, just above 890. In similar vein, USDMXN has trended lower over the past few hours and is approaching session lows around 17.25.
  • Slightly bucking the trend, USDBRL does remain higher after the below estimate IPCA inflation data this morning, as well as swap rates falling between 7-11 bps across the DI curve. Some updated FX techs below:
    • USDMXN conditions remain bullish following last week’s gains and despite yesterday’s move lower. The pair has traded through an important resistance at 17.4280, the Aug 4 high. Looking at price patterns, the daily close above 17.4280 confirms a double bottom reversal pattern on the daily chart. This signals scope for a climb towards 17.9292 next - 50.0% of the Mar 20 - Jul 28 downleg. On the downside, support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA which intersects at 17.1302.
    • A bull cycle in USDBRL remains in play and the support to watch is 4.8416, the Aug 10 low. A break of this level would threaten the current bullish theme and expose key support at 4.6964, the Jul 28 low. The bull trigger is 5.0016, the Aug 18 high, clearance of this level would open 5.1277, the May 31 high.

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