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USDZAR Extends Bounce From Monday’s Multi-Month Lows

ZAR
USDZAR has recorded a moderate uptick in recent trade, up 0.60% on the day at typing and having now recorded a ~1.5% bounce from Monday’s multi-month lows. The move does not appear to be headline driven but coincides with a further retreat in nominal and real yields. Moves in spot are likely corrective at these levels, with the recent break of support at 18.6945, the Oct 18 low, and the recent move through the 50-day EMA having strengthened the technical bearish picture in recent weeks.
  • Price remains below the aforementioned average, which intersects today at 18.8115 and is the initial resistance level to watch. The 18.00 handle and 17.9434, 76.4% of the Jul 27 - Oct 6 bull phase, mark downside support levels.
  • The local data slate is thin for the remainder of the week, with manufacturing production data the highlight tomorrow. Global themes will therefore remain the key drivers.

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