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UTILITIES: Utilities: Week in Review

UTILITIES
  • Utility spreads widened 3-4bp on the week, skewed by a 160bp average move from Thames Water. Drax put in an impressive 23bp tightening.
  • Renewables companies including Orsted, Vestas Wind and Siemens Energy started the week with equity pressured; the jump in Trump’s presidency odds weighed on the sector. His administration is likely to roll back subsidies which hurts the equity growth story but we see less of an issue for credit. Threats to the turbine producers from China are also looming.
  • Thames Water bonds continued their tumble following last week’s Ofwat draft determination. SAR is now taken as a given, the question is how much will the debt be haircut. A 20% midpoint seems a fair assumption currently.
  • EnBW had to pay up to get their bonds away in primary on thin books, which led to an 8bp move in secondary.
  • Enagas received a one notch upgrade from Fitch and outlook positive from Moody’s following asset sales. Engie was downgraded one notch by Fitch on higher leverage due to heavy capex needs.
  • Naturgy, Statkraft, Enagas, Iberdrola, Elia, Italgas, Enel, REN and Terna report next week.

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