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Venezuela Crude Oil Output Scenarios – Sanctions Vs No Sanctions

OIL

Venezuelan crude oil production is estimated to decline to 890kbpd by the end of 2025, if the US will reimpose sanctions according to Rystad Energy’s senior VP Jorge Leon.

  • That would be 250kbpd below the case if the US will extend the sanctions relief.
  • Venezuelan crude and products exports in March stood at 884.935kbpd, the highest level since early 2020, and up from around 617kbpd in February according to shipping data and PDVSA documents, cited by Reuters.
  • Venezeula's main opposition group, the Unitary Platform (PU) has, at the third attempt, been able to register a candidate for the upcoming presidential election on 28 July. There has been significant focus on the registration of candidates, given that an open electoral process under the Barbados Agreement has been seen as a necessity for the US if it is not to re-impose sanctions on the Venezuelan O&G sector from 18 April. So far there has been no comment on the registration from US officials.

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