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VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "tactically,....>

BUNDS
BUNDS: VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "tactically, we expect core yields to rise
in Europe. Data continues to strengthen, risk assets are trading relatively
well, and inflation globally is repricing higher. In addition, recent comments
from ECB Governing Council members that the PEPP envelope is a "ceiling" rather
than a commitment suggests an incrementally higher hurdle to any upsizing of
balance sheet expansion. We do not think there are any clear near-term
implications to these comments, but at the margin they should nudge lower
overall expectations for the size of the future asset purchases. Since the lows
in 10y bund yields at end-April, yields have lagged the repricing in growth and
inflation factors by around 15bp, a gap explained by the policy factor. The
latest shift in communication raises the hurdle for further policy surprises,
skewing the risks to higher yields "
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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