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VIEW: More from the previously outlined.........>

RBA
RBA: VIEW: More from the previously outlined McCrann article (released over 12
hours ago): "Even an opposition surprising us all by behaving responsibly is now
not going to stop - at the very least - a second rate cut. And the odds of it
being delivered immediately, in July, shortened dramatically into Wynx-territory
after yesterday's unambiguously and decidedly unwelcome weak GDP numbers. Only a
seriously strong jobs report on Thursday week now stands in the way. A seriously
bad report could deliver a 50-point cut. There was no way to parse the GDP
numbers as other than awful... It makes it all-but impossible for the RBA to
reach its - continually revised down - very ordinary 1.7 per cent GDP growth
forecast for the June year just ending. It would need quarterly growth to double
from March's 0.4 per cent to 0.8 per cent. It will also take a miracle economic
rebound for growth to come near the 2.6 per cent RBA forecast for the 2019
calendar year. That would require growth rates of 0.7 per cent in each and all
of the June, September and December quarter."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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