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Vodafone FY24 In Line W/ Guidance; Sees Slight Growth For FY25 Amidst Reporting Change

COMMUNICATIONS


  • BBG Consensus figures skewed by treatment of Spanish/Italian entities as discontinued operations; Q4 revenue -2.5% YoY vs. re-presented FY23 figures, group service revenue -1.3% but +6.3% organically.
  • Adj-EBITDAal -11.3% YoY but +2.2% organically (this is in line with company-provided consensus released which accounts for the change in reporting; see link below). Reported FY FCF of EUR 2.6bn came against the company-provided consensus of EUR 2.44bn.
  • Key German market returned to service revenue growth (+0.2% for the year and +0.6% in Q4) though adj-EBITDAal was -5.8% for the year with performance offset by the first MDU regulatory impact.
  • FY24 guidance on EBITDAal and FCF was met. Reported EBITDAal leverage of 2.5x down from 2.7x at H124, putting it in the middle of the new 2.25-2.75x target.
  • FY25 guidance implies adj-EBITDAal of EUR ~11bn (vs. a re-based FY24 figure of EUR 10.7bn) with adj-FCF of least EUR 2.4bn (from a re-based FY24 figure of EUR 2.4bn).
  • https://investors.vodafone.com/sites/vodafone-ir/files/2024-05/consensus-output-may.pdf.

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