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What to Watch: Headline Risks

MARKET INSIGHT

FI markets trading weaker, extending overnight lows after recent headlines Russia will stop offensive if Ukraine amends constitution and reject any plans to enter NATO.
Russia/Ukraine officials expected peace talks at 0900ET; foreign ministers 'contact' due in Turkey on March 10th.

  • Limited data on tap Monday: Consumer Credit ($24.500B est vs. $18.898B prior)
  • Federal Reserve entered blackout late Friday, runs through March 17, day after next FOMC policy annc.
  • Tsy supply kicks off with $60B 13W and $51B 26W bill auctions today, $48B 3Y note auction Tuesday.
  • Oil spike: West Texas crude (WTI) spiked to 129.77 overnight, +120.48 +4.8 at moment, risk of a full embargo on Russian oil and gas products looking more likely over the weekend.
  • Note, US DOE approves 12th release of crude to Exxon/Mobil from strategic oil reserves.

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