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Free AccessWhat would the vote split look like if there is no cut?
- First, we want to clarify that while the vote split if there is no cut does matter to some extent for whether there is likely to be a September cut, an unchanged 7-2 vote (with only Dhingra and Ramsden voting for a cut) would not exclude action at the next meeting.
- There is a chance that we would see a 6-3 or 5-4 vote in favour of a hold – with Bailey and/or Breeden dissenting if quorum for a cut cannot be reached.
- But there is probably a slightly higher probability of a 7-2 vote in this scenario with the internal members ex-Ramsden likely to move in a bloc.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.