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US TSYS SUMMARY: *** With the exception of the Ultra-bond, Tsy futures holding
steady to mildly lower, near session lows, volume evaporating after London
clocked out. Quiet end to the week w/Tsy futures opening mixed, curve flatter as
long end adds to Thu's rally, bottom half overnight range on decent volume.
Markets growing inured to second N Korea missile launch over northern Japan.
- Muted react to data: Aug retail sales -0.2%, +0.2% ex mtr veh, -0.2% ex auto,
bldg mat's, gas and food services, all below exp's (down rev's to Jun, Jul); Aug
IP dropped to -0.9% vs. +0.1% expected; July business inv +0.2%, as expected.
- Flow two-way on net in short end to intermediates, position squaring ahead
weekend, some option tied selling, and steepener unwinds. Cash Tsys off lows on
soft Aug retail sales early block buy 5k FVZ 118-02.7; 30Y bond auction now at a
profit as 30Y is at 2.761% vs. 2.79% auction rate.
- 2-way FX-tied flow as USD pared early gains, two-way program trading, buying
in 5Y, 30Y bonds but also selling in 7Y, 10Y. Tsys improve off session lows amid
some mild cross-over bid as the Fed bought "almost $2.0 billion in Agency MBS."