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ZAR: USDZAR Extends Corrective Bounce Off Monday’s Lows

ZAR

USDZAR has extended the bounce off Monday’s lows, with the sustained recovery in the USD index this week aiding the move higher. The pair looked to test the 17.00 handle yesterday – a level we have not traded below since February 2023 – with profit taking potentially at play. 

  • Meanwhile, rising tensions in the Middle East have continued to dampen global risk sentiment, contributing to a fade in the JP Morgan EM FX index from a multi-week high. Given the relatively thin local data slate for the remainder of the week, focus will turn to the US payrolls report on Friday as the next major risk event.
  • Despite this week’s move, USDZAR remains in a clear downtrend from a technical point of view. 17.4193, the Jul 27 ‘23 low, has been cleared which reinforces bearish conditions. Sights are on the 17.00 handle next. If breached, this would open 16.8724, the Jan 18 ‘23 low. Initial firm resistance not seen until 17.7945, the 50-day EMA.
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USDZAR has extended the bounce off Monday’s lows, with the sustained recovery in the USD index this week aiding the move higher. The pair looked to test the 17.00 handle yesterday – a level we have not traded below since February 2023 – with profit taking potentially at play. 

  • Meanwhile, rising tensions in the Middle East have continued to dampen global risk sentiment, contributing to a fade in the JP Morgan EM FX index from a multi-week high. Given the relatively thin local data slate for the remainder of the week, focus will turn to the US payrolls report on Friday as the next major risk event.
  • Despite this week’s move, USDZAR remains in a clear downtrend from a technical point of view. 17.4193, the Jul 27 ‘23 low, has been cleared which reinforces bearish conditions. Sights are on the 17.00 handle next. If breached, this would open 16.8724, the Jan 18 ‘23 low. Initial firm resistance not seen until 17.7945, the 50-day EMA.