All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

Latest insights

MNI discusses China's plans for a new policy-based bond.

Jul-07 04:59

A somewhat robust payrolls report sees near-term Fed rate cut odds slashed with the Fed still in "wait and see" mode

Jul-04 16:24

The EU is scheduled to hold a syndication while the Netherlands, Austria, Germany, Portugal and Italy will hold auctions

Jul-04 14:48

We think that the market is looking at the wrong measure of reserves when discussing the BOE’s September APF decision

Jul-04 13:59

Senior Hungarian debt official discusses debt plans.

Jul-04 10:55

The NBP cut rates by 25bp describing the move as a 'cautious adjustment'; the Governor signalled more easing to come.

Jul-04 10:42

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FI Market Analysis

We think that the market is looking at the wrong measure of reserves when discussing the BOE’s September APF decision

July 04, 2025 01:59

A weekly wrap of some of the key macro themes/data outcomes for the Asia Pac region

July 04, 2025 05:53

Nonfarm payrolls growth comfortably beat expectations in June, but it was far from an unambiguously strong report.

July 03, 2025 07:36

July is set to be a key month for US issuance.

July 02, 2025 09:15

FX Market Analysis

Firmer-than-expected JOLTs job data and a still elevated prices paid component in the ISM manufacturing survey applies hawkish pressure, countering the dovish input from Fed Chair Powell ahead of the data and outweighing a soft employment sub-component within the ISM survey. * Powell's focus on the Fed's mandate, as opposed to President Trump's critique, could be a supplementary factor. * 5bp of cuts priced into FOMC-dated OIS for this month, 28bp through September, 45bp through October and 64.5bp through year-end. Contracts are 1-3 less dovish vs. pre-data levels. * December pricing has retraced back within the range witnessed over the prior 3 sessions. * Implied terminal rate pricing on the SOFR futures strip sits at 3.11%, after printing at ~3.00% during the London morning (SFRZ6 hit the highest level seen since early May).

July 01, 2025 02:26

Rates markets look for a next Fed cut in September whilst President Trump continues to call for significant rate cuts

July 01, 2025 01:19

We look at market implications of the welfare reform vote, appearances from Bailey and Taylor and the week's auctions.

June 30, 2025 04:45

Weaker private domestic demand was a key theme in the “hard data” this week.

June 27, 2025 07:29