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The EU is moving towards approving a EUR150 billion plan for defence loans.

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Political Risk

GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK: Week Ahead 17-23 March

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MNI's Political Risk team has published its Week Ahead article looking at some of the major political events scheduled across the world over the next seven days. Includes info on US President Donald Trump's upcoming call with Vladimir Putin over the Ukraine ceasefire proposal, the vote in the German Bundestag to reform the debt brake, and the EUCO summit taking place 20-21 March. 

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 17-23 March

Trump & Putin call on Ukraine ceasefire proposal; German parliament to vote on debt brake reform; EUCO discusses defence

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Monday 17 March:

  • European Union: A Foreign Affairs Council meeting takes place in Brussels. EU foreign affairs ministers are joined virtually by Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha for discussions on the EU’s support for Ukraine amid a push from the US for immediate ceasefire talks. While the issue of military aid to Ukraine will be discussed, no decisions or votes will be taken, with Hungary remaining an obstacle to unanimous consent. Ministers will also discuss various subjects in the Middle East including Gaza, Syria, and Iran. They will also discuss the broader state of US-EU relations amid the escalating trade war between Washington, D.C., and Brussels.
  • Canada: New Prime Minister Mark Carney arrived in Paris for a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron, before he heads to London for talks with UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer in the evening. The overseas visits are some of Carney’s first actions in office after being sworn in as prime minister to succeed Justin Trudeau on 14 March. Discussions with both leaders are set to focus on trade and security links between Canada and France, and the UK respectively. Carney will also be given an audience with King Charles III, Canada’s head of state.

Full article PDF attached below:

MNIPOLITICALRISK-WeekAhead17-23March.pdf

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Tees Up Call With Vladimir Putin

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  • President Donald Trump will today tour the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington D.C.
  • The Trump administration’s economic policy will come under more scrutiny this week with retail jobs data today and the Federal Open Market Committee holding its second meeting of 2025 on Wednesday.
  • Trump administration officials are outwardly maintaining short-term economic shock is not a concern despite surveys showing Americans increasingly disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy and tariffs.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he's "not worried about markets" noting that stock market corrections are "healthy" and "normal".
  • Opinion of the Democratic Party has dropped to a record low, as the lack of a coherent plan to counter the Trump administration’s aggressive policy moves weighs heavily on the party.
  • Trump told reporters he will speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday as the White House accelerates its efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
  • The United States has renewed offensive military action against Houthi targets in Yemen, killing dozens in weekend strikes.
  • White House NSA Mike Waltz said “all options are always on the table” when asked about how the administration intends to deal with Iran.
  • Poll of the Day: Voters are open to efforts to tackle inefficiencies in the federal government but are concerned about how Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency is executing those cuts.

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF

MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Tees Up Call With Vladimir Putin

Daily roundup of news from the US.

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Executive summary:

  • President Donald Trump will today tour the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington D.C.
  • The Trump administration’s economic policy will come under more scrutiny this week with retail jobs data today and the Federal Open Market Committee holding its second meeting of 2025 on Wednesday. 
  • Trump administration officials are outwardly maintaining short-term economic shock is not a concern despite surveys showing Americans increasingly disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy and tariffs.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he's "not worried about markets" noting that stock market corrections are "healthy" and "normal".
  • Opinion of the Democratic Party has dropped to a record low, as the lack of a coherent plan to counter the Trump administration’s aggressive policy moves weighs heavily on the party.
  • Trump told reporters he will speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday as the White House accelerates its efforts to end the war in Ukraine. 
  • The United States has renewed offensive military action against Houthi targets in Yemen, killing dozens in weekend strikes.
  • White House NSA Mike Waltz said “all options are always on the table” when asked about how the administration intends to deal with Iran.
  • Poll of the Day: Voters are open to efforts to tackle inefficiencies in the federal government but are concerned about how Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency is executing those cuts.

Please find the full article attached below: US DAILY BRIEF

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