ASIA STOCKS: Asian Equities Mostly Higher Following Early Volatility

Jan-21 05:12

Asian stocks experienced volatile trading on Tuesday as investors reacted to US President Donald Trump's initial policy actions and trade comments. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.5% after fluctuating between gains and losses. While Trump confirmed tariffs of up to 25% on Mexico and Canada by February 1, he held off on outlining specific measures against China, leaving the door open for future negotiations.

  • Trump signaled potential tariffs on Chinese goods if Beijing blocks TikTok's sale but avoided committing to immediate China-specific levies.
  • Technology stocks led the region, buoyed by news of a Chinese government chip fund's investment in AI. Renewable energy and electric vehicle stocks fell after Trump withdrew the US from the Paris Agreement and rolled back environmentally-friendly policies. and shares in energy and chemical sectors declined as investors weighed Trump's trade policy.
  • Goldman Sachs’ Kinger Lau forecasted a potential 20% rise in Chinese equities over the next 12 months, suggesting markets can absorb the impact of tariffs.
  • APAC markets: Japanese equities mixed, with the TOPIX -0.10% while the Nikkei trades +0.10%, Hong Kong's HSI +1.20%, China's CSI 300 +0.25%, Taiwan's TAIEX +0.20%, South Korea's KOSPI +0.20%, Australia's ASX 200 +0.60%, New Zealand NZX 50 -0.30%

Historical bullets

TRUDEAU SAYS `WE HAVE A LOT OF WORK TO DO'

Dec-20 21:16
  • TRUDEAU SAYS `WE HAVE A LOT OF WORK TO DO'
  • TRUDEAU WANTS GOVT TO PREPARE FOR NEW US ADMINISTRATION
  • TRUDEAU DOESN'T ADDRESS QUESTIONS ABOUT HIS LEADERSHIP

USDCAD TECHS: A Pullback Would Be Considered Corrective

Dec-20 21:00
  • RES 4: 1.4539 3.382 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 3: 1.4537 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 2: 1.4508 3.236 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 1: 1.4467 High Dec 19 
  • PRICE: 1.4356 @ 16:56 GMT Dec 20
  • SUP 1: 1.4301 Low Dec 18  
  • SUP 2: 1.4174/4014 20- and 50-day EMA values 
  • SUP 3: 1.3928 Low Nov 25 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3822 Low Nov 6

USDCAD bulls remain in the driver’s seat. While price faded into the Thursday close, the recent breach of 1.4178, the Nov 26 high, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and this maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The latest rally opens 1.4508 next, a Fibonacci projection level. Initial firm support to watch lies at 1.4174, the 20-day EMA. A pullback would be considered corrective.   

AUDUSD TECHS: Bearish Trend Structure

Dec-20 20:30
  • RES 4: 0.6550 High Nov 25
  • RES 3: 0.6501 50-day EMA               
  • RES 2: 0.6429 High Dec 12  
  • RES 1: 0.6337/6396 Low Dec 11 / 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 0.6263 @ 16:55 GMT Dec 20
  • SUP 1: 0.6199 Low Dec 19 
  • SUP 3: 0.6158 1.236 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
  • SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing

The trend needle in AUDUSD continues to point south and this week’s fresh cycle lows and Wednesday’s sell-off, reinforce a bear theme. The move down maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position too, highlighting a dominant downtrend. The break lower opens 0.6158 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance to watch is 0.6396, the 20-day EMA.