January 09, 2025 16:04 GMT
BOE: Breeden speech highlights
BOE
- "In December I judged that the evidence supported maintaining Bank Rate at 4.75% and that recent developments supported the case for a gradual approach to the withdrawal of policy restrictiveness in the coming months."
- "I will be focused in particular on further diagnosing how much of the slowdown in activity in the economy can be attributed to supply and how much to demand given their differing impacts on the medium-term outlook for inflation. And I will continue to analyse the evidence around how employers are responding to the still-elevated level of growth in employment costs and what that means for inflation persistence."
- "Two important questions follow from that judgement.
The first is how restrictive we are and should be – how far away we are from r*, the neutral level of interest rates that leaves the economy in balance.
I’ve spoken already about how hard it is accurately to diagnose the nature of the shocks that are hitting our economy. In my view understanding the impact of these shocks and how they might affect medium-term inflation is the best way to feel our way to the right level of restrictiveness over time, led by the evidence as we see it.
The second question is how quickly we should remove that restrictiveness. That is difficult to know and will depend on how the factors above evolve over time. To be clear, I expect Bank Rate to come down over time as the effects of the large shocks of the past continue to abate."
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