All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

Latest insights

Governor Glapinski set the scene for an imminent start of monetary easing while deploying surprisingly dovish rhetoric.

Apr-04 11:36

MNI interviews ex-director of Fed Board's Division of International Finance on post-tariff outlook for policy.

Apr-04 10:58

MNI speaks to ECB sources.

Apr-04 09:59

EU officials update MNI on talks over a EUR150 billion defence loan facility.

Apr-04 09:47

The RBNZ will hand down its latest decision April 9.

Apr-04 07:17

A weekly wrap of some of the key macro themes/data outcomes for the Asia Pac region.

Apr-04 06:12

Latest insights

Trial MNI

Trial our real time service now

MNI Technical Analysis

Corrective Cycle In USDJPY

Technical analysis chart

FI Market Analysis

Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_US_Deep_Dive_Issuance_2025_032_442dfaec5a.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Treasury isn't expected to raise the size of its coupon offerings until Q4 2025 at the earliest, with consensus on such a shift moving following the February refunding announcement to Nov 2025/early 2026, from Aug/Nov 2025 prior. * As such, attention will be on the upcoming quarterly refunding announcement (April 30) to see whether there is any change from the long-standing guidance. Prevailing opinion is that guidance will be changed in May's refunding round to give plenty of notice ahead of a shift in issuance in November, though overall the perception is that risks are increasing of a later timeline. * We will provide a full preview of the Refunding announcement at the end of April. * March Auction Review: March's Treasury auctions brought the following results. Of the 7 nominal coupon auctions, three traded through and four tailed, with the 7-year sale standing out on the weak side according to MNI's Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). * Upcoming issuance: April is set to see $315B in nominal Treasury coupon sales, in addition to $25B in 5Y TIPS and $30B FRN for a total of $370B - a post-Oct 2021 high. * Buybacks: The past quarter's buyback results and the upcoming schedule are included later in this publication. Note cash management buybacks pick up in April around key mid-month tax revenues.

March 31, 2025 08:48

We set out our expectations for gilt issuance and syndications in FY25-26 and review the Spring Statement

March 30, 2025 09:43

Stagflationary developments ahead of an important week including US reciprocal tariffs, payrolls and Fed Chair Powell

March 28, 2025 06:37

The EFSF, Germany, Spain, France and Finland are expected to issue E30.6bln over the upcoming week.

March 28, 2025 02:45

FX Market Analysis

A weekly wrap of some of the key theme/macro events in the Asia Pac region.

March 28, 2025 06:03

Analyst forecasts compiled by MNI point to headline around 2.2% Y/Y and core around 2.5% Y/Y in March.

March 27, 2025 03:27

Norges Bank held their policy rate at 4.50%, in line with consensus but against prior guidance for a 25bp cut.

March 27, 2025 02:16

We look ahead to tomorrow's UK CPI release and the main takeaways from the 2025B weights publication.

March 25, 2025 03:55