LOOK AHEAD: CPI Inflation for November
Dec-11 11:01
US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate). All times ET
- Dec-11 0700 MBA Mortgage Applications (2.8%, --)
- Dec-11 0830 CPI MoM (0.2%, 0.3%), YoY (2.6%, 2.7%)
- Dec-11 0830 Core CPI MoM (0.3%, 0.3%), YoY (3.3%, 3.3%)
- Dec-11 0830 Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY (1.4%, --)
- Dec-11 0830 Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY (1.1% rev, --)
- Dec-11 1130 US Tsy $64B 17W Bill auction
- Dec-11 1300 US Tsy $39B 10Y Note re-open (91282CLW9)
- Dec-11 1400 Federal Budget Balance (-$314B, -$356B)
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BUNDS: Block trade
Nov-11 10:48
Bund block trade, suggest seller:
- RXZ4 2k at 132.29.
EURUSD TECHS: Fresh Trend Low
Nov-11 10:46
- RES 4: 1.1040 High Oct 4
- RES 3: 1.0997 High Oct 8
- RES 2: 1.0937 High Nov 5 and key short-term resistance
- RES 1: 1.0850 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 1.0680 @ 06:06 GMT Nov 11
- SUP 1: 1.0668 Intraday low
- SUP 2: 1.0666 Low Jun 26 and a key support
- SUP 3: 1.0650 Low May 1
- SUP 4: 1.0611 38.2% retracement of the Sep ‘22 - Jul ‘23 bull cycle
A sharp sell-off on Nov 6 in EURUSD highlighted a resumption of the current downtrend. The move down resulted in a reversal of the recent Oct 23 - Nov 5 correction and a breach of 1.0761, the Oct 23 low, signalling scope for an extension towards 1.0666, the Jun 26 low. Today’s fresh cycle low reinforces the bearish theme. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 1.0937, the Nov 5 and 6 high. A break would highlight a potential reversal.
SONIA: Call fly vs put spread
Nov-11 10:42
SFIZ5 95.75/95.50ps vs 96.00/96.50/97.00c fly, bought the fly for half in 2k.
