NATGAS: Current Prices Incentivise Gas Storage Withdrawals: AGGM

Jan-30 12:36

Austrian natural gas storage fell to 63.6% capacity, after a cold snap and wholesale costs gave consumers incentive to draw down reserves, Bloomberg reports citing AGGM.

  • Withdrawal rates have been higher this year due to colder weather compared to last winter and stronger power-generation demand.
  • “The current price situation is also supporting withdrawal activities”, AGGM Executive Board Member Bernhard Painz said. “Wholesale prices for summer 2025 are significantly higher than those for winter 25/26 and even more so for calendar 2026, which means that the economic incentive for market participants to withdraw gas from storages is high”.
  • AGGM says there is “sufficient liquidity is available on the international spot markets” to cover demand.
  • Across Europe, net withdrawal rate from gas storage in the week to Jan. 28 averaged 20% below normal at 5,462GWh/d compared to 32% above normal the previous week at 9,390GWh/d.
  • European gas storage is currently 55.1% full, 15 percentage points below the same time last year.
  • Assuming average weather conditions, European gas storage is expected to be 27% full by end-March, before rising to 70% by end-September, just enough to meet storage targets, according to BNEF.

Historical bullets

USD: Finding a broader bid

Dec-31 12:15
  • A broader bid is going through the Dollar, printing an intraday high against the Pound, AUD, CAD, CHF, ZAR, and NZD.
  • Market participants will be looking at the AUDUSD and the Psychological 0.6200 level, printed a 0.6199 low on the 19th December, this was also its lowest level since October 2022.
  • A clear break through that area, will open to 0.6170, the 2022 low and lowest level since April 2020.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Put ladder buyer

Dec-31 12:03

ERZ5 98.00/97.75/97.50p ladder, bought for flat in 2.25k total.

GILTS: Extending gains ahead of the close

Dec-31 11:50
  • Overall it is a fairly decent move in Gilt, the contract continues to gain, the lower volume has been helping, but there's been a pick up in the past few minutes with just under 30 minutes left for the trading session.
  • Around 2k cumulative lots have been bought in the past few minutes, multiple clips.