BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: UK Short End Outperforms Amid Broader Softness

Jan-23 17:52

EGB yields rose modestly Thursday, with short-end Gilts outperforming across the space.

  • Global core FI was soft in European morning trade, amid French OAT supply and higher energy prices.
  • Later, US developments were constructive: weaker US continuing jobless claims data helped EGB futures away from session lows, while a late dip in oil (US Pres Trump called on OPEC to lower prices) saw a renewed bid toward the bond cash close (which ultimately faded).
  • The UK curve twist steepned, with notable outperformance at the short end as Chancellor Reeves announced some relaxation to proposed non-dom tax regime changes, while the German curve lightly bear steepened.
  • Periphery spreads widened early and failed to regain lost ground by the close, despite steady tightening throughout the session as equities rallied. BTPs underperformed.
  • Confidence readings were roughly in line (France business/manufacturing, Eurozone consumer confidence -14.2 vs -14.1 expected), with UK GfK due after the cash close.
  • Flash January PMIs are Friday's scheduled highlight, with ECB's Lagarde appearing at Davos. 

Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 0.9bps at 2.245%, 5-Yr is up 1.5bps at 2.35%, 10-Yr is up 2bps at 2.55%, and 30-Yr is up 2.4bps at 2.778%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.9bps at 4.325%, 5-Yr is down 1.5bps at 4.336%, 10-Yr is up 0.3bps at 4.636%, and 30-Yr is up 1.1bps at 5.193%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 2.6bps at 109.7bps / Greek up 2.2bps at 87.7bps  

Historical bullets

US STOCKS: Late Equities Roundup: Santa Rally Support

Dec-24 17:26
  • Stocks continued to pull higher Tuesday, brief program selling tempered price action before climbing higher again before the early close ahead of the midweek Christmas holiday, Consumer Discretionary and Information Technology sectors outperforming.
  • Currently, the DJIA trades up 299.2 points (0.7%) at 43206.37, S&P E-Minis up 50.75 points (0.84%) at 6086.75, Nasdaq up 206.8 points (1%) at 19971.56.
  • Autos and broadline retailers buoyed the Consumer Discretionary sector in the first half: Tesla +5.12%, General Motors +1.71%, Amazon +1.5%, AutoZone +1.29%. Semiconductor stocks continued to support the IT sector for the second day running: Super Micro Computer +5.49%, Broadcom +2.87%, Palantir Technology +1.74%, ON Semiconductor +1.25%.
  • On the flipside, Health Care and Utility sectors underperformed ahead the early close, pharmaceutical shares weighing on the former: Viatris -0.80%, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals -0.58%, Biogen -0.56% and Bristol-Myers Squibb -0.46%. Gas and Electricity providers weighed on the Utility sector: American Water Works -0.70%, AES Corp -0.57%, Consolidated Edison -0.41%.

FED: US TSY TO SELL $75.000 BLN 4W BILL DEC 26, SETTLE DEC 31

Dec-24 17:05
  • US TSY TO SELL $75.000 BLN 4W BILL DEC 26, SETTLE DEC 31

FED: US TSY TO SELL $70.000 BLN 8W BILL DEC 26, SETTLE DEC 31

Dec-24 17:05
  • US TSY TO SELL $70.000 BLN 8W BILL DEC 26, SETTLE DEC 31