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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Flash PMIs In Market's Eyesight
Gilts And GBP Underperform As Truss Exit Probability Rises
In the wake of today's events, PM Liz Truss exit date betting market probability on SMarkets has crossed 50% for a 2022 exit. This was 27% late this morning and under 10% early yesterday.
- While UK assets had benefited from anticipation that the government would change course on its fiscal plans, Gilts and Sterling have underperformed this afternoon.
- Potentially some profit-taking involved but rising political risk likely a factor too, with policy still uncertain ahead of the unveiling of the Government's fiscal .plan (under a new Chancellor) on Oct 31.
"When will Liz Truss be replaced as Prime Minister?" Exit Date 2022 Implied Prob %Source: SMarkets
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