All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

Latest insights

The EU is scheduled to hold a syndication while Austria, Germany, Spain, Italy and Portugal are all due to hold auctions

Apr-04 15:41

EUR spreads widened 24bp as the Rose Garden announcements upended risk markets

Apr-04 15:09

MNI's key exclusive stories for this week

Apr-04 11:41

Governor Glapinski set the scene for an imminent start of monetary easing while deploying surprisingly dovish rhetoric.

Apr-04 11:36

MNI interviews ex-director of Fed Board's Division of International Finance on post-tariff outlook for policy.

Apr-04 10:58

MNI speaks to ECB sources.

Apr-04 09:59

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MNI Technical Analysis

Corrective Cycle In USDJPY

Technical analysis chart

FI Market Analysis

Services Y/Y Eases Further But Some Recent Upward Momentum

April 02, 2025 11:42

Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_US_Deep_Dive_Issuance_2025_032_442dfaec5a.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Treasury isn't expected to raise the size of its coupon offerings until Q4 2025 at the earliest, with consensus on such a shift moving following the February refunding announcement to Nov 2025/early 2026, from Aug/Nov 2025 prior. * As such, attention will be on the upcoming quarterly refunding announcement (April 30) to see whether there is any change from the long-standing guidance. Prevailing opinion is that guidance will be changed in May's refunding round to give plenty of notice ahead of a shift in issuance in November, though overall the perception is that risks are increasing of a later timeline. * We will provide a full preview of the Refunding announcement at the end of April. * March Auction Review: March's Treasury auctions brought the following results. Of the 7 nominal coupon auctions, three traded through and four tailed, with the 7-year sale standing out on the weak side according to MNI's Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). * Upcoming issuance: April is set to see $315B in nominal Treasury coupon sales, in addition to $25B in 5Y TIPS and $30B FRN for a total of $370B - a post-Oct 2021 high. * Buybacks: The past quarter's buyback results and the upcoming schedule are included later in this publication. Note cash management buybacks pick up in April around key mid-month tax revenues.

March 31, 2025 08:48

We set out our expectations for gilt issuance and syndications in FY25-26 and review the Spring Statement

March 30, 2025 09:43

Stagflationary developments ahead of an important week including US reciprocal tariffs, payrolls and Fed Chair Powell

March 28, 2025 06:37

FX Market Analysis

A weekly wrap of some of the key theme/macro events in the Asia Pac region.

March 28, 2025 06:03

Analyst forecasts compiled by MNI point to headline around 2.2% Y/Y and core around 2.5% Y/Y in March.

March 27, 2025 03:27

Norges Bank held their policy rate at 4.50%, in line with consensus but against prior guidance for a 25bp cut.

March 27, 2025 02:16

We look ahead to tomorrow's UK CPI release and the main takeaways from the 2025B weights publication.

March 25, 2025 03:55