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IRELAND: Final Poll Shows Three Main Parties Neck-And-Neck Ahead Of 29 Nov Vote

IRELAND
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The final opinion poll ahead of the 29 November general election shows Ireland's three main parties neck-and-neck in the race to secure the most seats in the Dáil (lower house). The RedC/Business Post poll has Tánaiste (Deputy PM) Micheál Martin's Christian democratic Fianna Fáil (FF) leading the way with 21% support. Taoiseach (PM) Simon Harris' conservative Fine Gael (FG) sits in joint second place with the main opposition left-wing Irish republican Sinn Féin on 20% support. Given Ireland's single transferrable vote (STV) electoral system, the breakdown of the old two-party dominance of Irish politics, and the fact that no party is fielding enough candidates to secure a majority, talks to form a governing coalition post-election will prove crucial. 

  • The centre-left progressive Social Democrats sit at 6% in the poll with another party of the centre-left, Labour, on 4%. The environmentalist Greens, which sit as the smallest party in the current governing coalition, are also on 4%. The socially conservative Irish republican Aontu are on 4%, as are the right-wing populist Independent Ireland. In what will play a notable part in the eventual seat distribution, independent candidates are polling strongly at 15%.
  • Polling stations are open from 0700GMT (0200ET, 0800CET) to 2200GMT (1700ET, 2300CET). Once polling stations close at 10 pm, exit polls will be published immediately. Historically, exit polls have proved accurate in indicating the main trends of the election, although the intricacies of the electoral system mean that they are of less use in predicting exact seat totals. 
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The final opinion poll ahead of the 29 November general election shows Ireland's three main parties neck-and-neck in the race to secure the most seats in the Dáil (lower house). The RedC/Business Post poll has Tánaiste (Deputy PM) Micheál Martin's Christian democratic Fianna Fáil (FF) leading the way with 21% support. Taoiseach (PM) Simon Harris' conservative Fine Gael (FG) sits in joint second place with the main opposition left-wing Irish republican Sinn Féin on 20% support. Given Ireland's single transferrable vote (STV) electoral system, the breakdown of the old two-party dominance of Irish politics, and the fact that no party is fielding enough candidates to secure a majority, talks to form a governing coalition post-election will prove crucial. 

  • The centre-left progressive Social Democrats sit at 6% in the poll with another party of the centre-left, Labour, on 4%. The environmentalist Greens, which sit as the smallest party in the current governing coalition, are also on 4%. The socially conservative Irish republican Aontu are on 4%, as are the right-wing populist Independent Ireland. In what will play a notable part in the eventual seat distribution, independent candidates are polling strongly at 15%.
  • Polling stations are open from 0700GMT (0200ET, 0800CET) to 2200GMT (1700ET, 2300CET). Once polling stations close at 10 pm, exit polls will be published immediately. Historically, exit polls have proved accurate in indicating the main trends of the election, although the intricacies of the electoral system mean that they are of less use in predicting exact seat totals.