US TSY FUTURES: Late Mar/Jun Tsy Roll Update

Feb-17 19:14

Decent second half volumes as Tsy quarterly futures roll from Mar'23 to Jun'23 continues. First notice date of Tuesday, February 28. Current markets:

    • TUH/TUM 89,000 from -10.00 to -8.25, -10.0 last, appr 7% complete
    • FVH/FVM 115,300 from -14.75 to -14.0, -14.5 last, appr 8% complete
    • TYH/TYM 78,500 from -16.00 to -15.25, -16.00 last, appr 6% complete
    • UXYH/UXYM 19,600 from 1.25 to 1.75, 1.75 last, appr 2% complete
    • USH/USM 16,600 from -1-02.75 to -30, -1-02.25 last, 4% complete
    • WNH/WNM under 18,800 from -20.0 to -19.25, -19.5 last, 8% complete
  • Reminder, March futures won't expire until next month: 10s, 30s and Ultras on March 22, 2s and 5s on March 31.

Historical bullets

US: State Department Press Conference Underway Shortly

Jan-18 19:04

State Department Spokesperson Ned Price is shortly due to brief the press from the Department of State.

  • Livestream: https://www.state.gov/todays-briefing-schedule/
  • Price will update on a hectic week of diplomacy surrounding the war in Ukraine and an ongoing meeting between Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu.

US TSY OPTIONS: 30Y Put Spd

Jan-18 19:00
  • 5,000 USM3 129/130 put spds, 21 ref 113-11

EURGBP TECHS: Pierces The 50-Day EMA

Jan-18 19:00
  • RES 4: 0.8992 61.8% Retracement of the Sep 26 - Dec 1 bear leg
  • RES 3: 0.8980 High Sep 29
  • RES 2: 0.8907 50.0% retracement of the Sep 26 - Dec 1 bear leg
  • RES 1: 0.8897 High Jan 13 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 0.8754 @ 16:46 GMT Jan 18
  • SUP 1: 0.8735 Low Jan 18
  • SUP 2: 0.8691 Low Dec 19
  • SUP 3: 0.8646 High Dec 8
  • SUP 4: 0.8593 Low Dec 15

EURGBP traded lower Wednesday, extending Tuesday’s bearish session. The cross has traded below the 50-day EMA, at 0.8756. This represents a key short-term support and a clear break of it would undermine the recent bull phase and signal scope for a deeper retracement. This would open 0.8691 initially, the Dec 19 low. On the upside, key short-term resistance has been defined at 0.8897, the Jan 13 high.