MNI INTERVIEW: Tariffs Put Fed In Stagflationary Bind - Ex-CEA
MNI INTERVIEW: Tariffs Put Fed In Stagflationary Bind - Ex-CEA
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MNI INTERVIEW: Tariffs Put Fed In Stagflationary Bind - Ex-CEA
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A weekly wrap of some of the key macro themes/data outcomes for the Asia Pac region.
April 04, 2025 06:12Payrolls growth is eyed at 140k in March for only a mild easing from February as markets tilt firmly dovish on tariffs
April 03, 2025 05:39Services Y/Y Eases Further But Some Recent Upward Momentum
April 02, 2025 11:42Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_US_Deep_Dive_Issuance_2025_032_442dfaec5a.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Treasury isn't expected to raise the size of its coupon offerings until Q4 2025 at the earliest, with consensus on such a shift moving following the February refunding announcement to Nov 2025/early 2026, from Aug/Nov 2025 prior. * As such, attention will be on the upcoming quarterly refunding announcement (April 30) to see whether there is any change from the long-standing guidance. Prevailing opinion is that guidance will be changed in May's refunding round to give plenty of notice ahead of a shift in issuance in November, though overall the perception is that risks are increasing of a later timeline. * We will provide a full preview of the Refunding announcement at the end of April. * March Auction Review: March's Treasury auctions brought the following results. Of the 7 nominal coupon auctions, three traded through and four tailed, with the 7-year sale standing out on the weak side according to MNI's Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). * Upcoming issuance: April is set to see $315B in nominal Treasury coupon sales, in addition to $25B in 5Y TIPS and $30B FRN for a total of $370B - a post-Oct 2021 high. * Buybacks: The past quarter's buyback results and the upcoming schedule are included later in this publication. Note cash management buybacks pick up in April around key mid-month tax revenues.
March 31, 2025 08:48FX Market Analysis
FX Market AnalysisStagflationary developments ahead of an important week including US reciprocal tariffs, payrolls and Fed Chair Powell
March 28, 2025 06:37A weekly wrap of some of the key theme/macro events in the Asia Pac region.
March 28, 2025 06:03Analyst forecasts compiled by MNI point to headline around 2.2% Y/Y and core around 2.5% Y/Y in March.
March 27, 2025 03:27Norges Bank held their policy rate at 4.50%, in line with consensus but against prior guidance for a 25bp cut.
March 27, 2025 02:16
