All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
Latest insights
Banxico is widely expected to deliver another 50bp policy rate cut to 8.50%, amid mounting growth concerns.
May-13 16:39MNI speaks to policy advisors in Beijing about the likely scope of a U.S-China trade deal.
May-13 12:02MNI speaks to policy advisors in Beijing about the prospects for a "Mar-a-Lago Accord".
May-13 07:55MNI speaks to Chinese government advisor Sun Lijian, director of the Financial Research Center at Fudan University.
May-13 07:04MNI discusses the impact of consumer spending on the BOJ's outlook.
May-13 04:30The agreement has a five-year term.
May-12 22:03
MNI: Italy Sees Pick-Up In Foreign Demand For Bonds -Officials

MNI: Italy Sees Pick-Up In Foreign Demand For Bonds -Officials

MNI INTERVIEW: BOJ Most Likely To Hike In January - Momma

MNI INTERVIEW: BOJ Most Likely To Hike In January - Momma
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Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the page
MNI: Italy Sees Pick-Up In Foreign Demand For Bonds -Officials

MNI: Italy Sees Pick-Up In Foreign Demand For Bonds -Officials

MNI INTERVIEW: BOJ Most Likely To Hike In January - Momma

MNI INTERVIEW: BOJ Most Likely To Hike In January - Momma
Key Events
Calendar
Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the pageLatest insights
Banxico is widely expected to deliver another 50bp policy rate cut to 8.50%, amid mounting growth concerns.
May-13 16:39MNI speaks to policy advisors in Beijing about the likely scope of a U.S-China trade deal.
May-13 12:02MNI speaks to policy advisors in Beijing about the prospects for a "Mar-a-Lago Accord".
May-13 07:55MNI speaks to Chinese government advisor Sun Lijian, director of the Financial Research Center at Fudan University.
May-13 07:04MNI discusses the impact of consumer spending on the BOJ's outlook.
May-13 04:30The agreement has a five-year term.
May-12 22:03Newsletter
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - Light Data Slate Keeps Focus on Fed
May-14 10:56MNI US OPEN - KRW Rallies After FX Policy Discusions With US
May-14 09:42MNI DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - EURJPY Tops Notable Level
May-14 07:16MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: RBA Cut Still Priced For May
May-14 05:32MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: Australian Q1 Wages Stronger Than Forecast
May-14 05:14MNI ASIA OPEN: Chip Stocks Surge, Trump Tours Saudi Arabia
May-13 19:57MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Tsys & US$ Retreat, Slight CPI Miss
May-13 19:52MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - CPI Gives First Post-Tariff Glimpse
May-13 11:16MNI Technical Analysis
S&P E-Minis Trend Needle Points South

FI Market Analysis
Read moreFI Market AnalysisA weekly wrap of some of the key themes/data outcomes for the Asia Pac region.
May 09, 2025 05:50Norges Bank held rates at 4.50% as unanimously expected.
May 08, 2025 01:51The Riksbank held rates at 2.25% as unanimously expected, and introduced a very slight dovish tilt to its guidance.
May 08, 2025 01:45Services Y/Y Exceeds Highest Analyst Estimate
May 07, 2025 01:51FX Market Analysis
Read moreFX Market AnalysisNorges Bank held rates at 4.50% as unanimously expected.
May 08, 2025 01:51The Riksbank held rates at 2.25% as unanimously expected, and introduced a very slight dovish tilt to its guidance.
May 08, 2025 01:45GBP STIRs are little changed this morning, looking through the previously covered Chinese policy easing announcement and reports pointing to the U.S. and UK nearing a trade accord. * SONIA futures flat to +1.5. * BoE-dated OIS is within 1bp of yesterday's closing levels, showing 95bp of cuts through year-end. A reminder that ~88.5bp of cuts were priced through year-end early yesterday after over 100bp of easing was priced over the same horizon last week. * The next 25bp cut is still fully discounted come the end of tomorrow's decision. * An outcome other than a 25bp cut would be surprising but there will be a number of things to watch: any changes to the guidance and the inflation/growth forecast changes, the vote split and the introduction of new scenarios. * For the guidance we expect "restrictive" and "careful" to remain but we question whether "gradual" will be removed and talk through the rationale for this potential change. * On the vote split, consensus expects 8-1 but neither Dhingra nor Mann dissenting for a 50bp cut would be a huge surprise. Taylor or Ramsden are plausible possible dissenters that would be more noteworthy - and any other member voting for a 50bp cut or for Bank Rate on hold would be a huge surprise. * Click for our full preview: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Bo_E_Preview_May25_cdd10a1afe.pdf. * Expect macro news flow and cross-market moves to dominate between now and the BoE decision, with little of note on the UK calendar in that period. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BoE Meeting SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) Difference vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) May-25 4.200 -25.9 Jun-25 4.064 -39.5 Aug-25 3.861 -59.9 Sep-25 3.721 -73.9 Nov-25 3.560 -89.9 Dec-25 3.510 -94.9
May 07, 2025 06:51A dovish pivot from the MPC is possible, but the market is already partially pricing this.
May 07, 2025 05:44