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AUSTRALIA DATA: Too Early To Tell If Downtrend In Core Inflation Has Resumed

AUSTRALIA DATA

While November headline inflation picked up 0.2pp to 2.3% y/y, the focus is on trimmed mean given current state & federal electricity rebates and this underlying measure eased 0.3pp to 3.2%, where it was in September. However, the RBA continues to focus on quarterly CPI data and it wants to be confident that inflation will return sustainably to the band. It is too early to tell if monthly inflation is trending lower again, thus attention will be firmly on Q4 CPI on January 29.

Australia monthly CPI y/y%

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While November headline inflation picked up 0.2pp to 2.3% y/y, the focus is on trimmed mean given current state & federal electricity rebates and this underlying measure eased 0.3pp to 3.2%, where it was in September. However, the RBA continues to focus on quarterly CPI data and it wants to be confident that inflation will return sustainably to the band. It is too early to tell if monthly inflation is trending lower again, thus attention will be firmly on Q4 CPI on January 29.

Australia monthly CPI y/y%

Keep reading...Show less