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MNI BRIEF: German GDP Weak Despite Gas Price Drop: IWH
German GDP will edge up just 0.4% in 2023, IWH Halle reported on Tuesday, with the positive effects of a fall in gas prices and storage at capacity, offset by the continued dampening effect of inflation -- which is expected to average 5.8% for the year -- higher interest rates, and declining real wages. (see MNI INTERVIEW: Germany Faces Permanent Loss of Competitiveness).
Tighter financial conditions are hitting the construction industry in particular, IWH vice president Oliver Hoeltemoller said, with foreign demand for German goods not enough to counter the effects of increased imports of some energy-intensive goods and the passthrough of lower energy prices to household incomes delayed.
“To combat inflation, the European Central Bank (ECB) is tightening its monetary policy sharply, and higher financing costs are exacerbating the cost crisis in the German construction sector,” Holtemöller said.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.