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FOREX: Danske bank have released their FX forecast update and note the trade war
is to keep the USD bid for now. The trade war has returned as a key USD driver
and, in our view, further escalation, which remains our base case, will tend to
be USD supportive due to the less open US economy, which is set to lose less
than those of its peers on a decrease in global trade. This said, recent Fed
worries should keep a lid on USD strength but will also tend to make, notably,
the ECB reluctant to commit to a tightening cycle.