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Fed Speakers Say Wait And See

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds pricing sits little changed after headlines from three FOMC members in short succession, consolidating relatively resilient earlier moves, especially in Dec pricing which has steadily increased in recent hours.
  • Mar 16 dipped back to 29bp priced whilst Jun and Dec meetings are modestly firmer at a cumulative 82bps and 151bps.
  • Mester’s (2022 voter) prepared remarks said she still sees a series of rate hikes as appropriate, following liftoff in March barring an ‘unexpected turn’. Geopolitics adds inflation and growth risks in the near-term, whilst the Ukraine situation is a medium-term consideration for the Fed.
  • Earlier, Bostic (non-voter) added he thinks the Fed can continue its liftoff plan if data comes in as expected, with a lot still to see.

Fed Funds pricing for specific meetingsSource: Bloomberg

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