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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, December 27
POLICY: China's de-leveraging campaign still faces severe challenges to
implement, as the economy remains driven by the growth of debt. The leverage
ratio will continue to rise as long as the government still rely on increased
debt levels to prop up overall GDP growth, said Li Yang, chairman of the
National Institution for Finance & Development(NIFD) on Wednesday.
TRADE WAR: China and U.S. economic and trade teams are planning to meet in
January to conduct a face-to-face consultations, said Gao Feng, the spokesman of
the Ministry of Commerce during a presser in Beijing on Thursday. Gao confirmed
that the two sides have already made arrangements for meeting face-to-face next
month, holding frequent discussions about trade talks over the phone. Gao
refused to disclose further details about the exact date of the meeting.
DATA: November industrial profits fell 1.8% y/y, a first y/y decline since
December 2015. This compared with October's 3.6% y/y gain. Accumulated profits
for Jan-Nov rose by 11.8% y/y, down from 13.6% y/y in Jan-Oct. November's drop
was mainly caused by slowing production and sales, increasing cost, and slowing
ex-factory prices, the National Bureau of Statistics said today.
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY120 billion by
7-day reverse repos, and CNY30 billion by 14-day reverse repos today, a ninth
trading day that the central bank has added liquidity by open market
operations(OMOs). It resulted in a net injection of CNY30 billion given the
maturity of CNY120 billion of reverse repos, according to Wind Information. The
PBOC said today's OMO is to stabilize year-end liquidity.
RATE: The 7-day weighted average interbank repo average rate for depository
institutions (DR007) increased to 2.7856% from Wednesday's close of 2.7502%,
Wind Information showed. The overnight repo average decreased to 1.7196% from
Wednesday's 1.9527%.
YUAN: The yuan appreciated to 6.8660 against the U.S. dollar from
Wednesday's close of 6.8821. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate at
6.8894 Thursday, compared with 6.8845 on Wednesday.
BONDS: The yield on the benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.2700%, down from the closing price of 3.3000% on Wednesday, according to Wind
Information.
STOCKS: The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed 0.61% lower at
2,483.09. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index decreased 0.67% to 25,478.88.
FROM THE PRESS: Some provincial and municipal governments are planning to
issue bonds as early as January, earlier than in previous years, Shanghai
Securities Journal reported, citing an anonymous official at a local finance
department. Issuing in advance may help accelerate the expansion of new bonds
and support local finances, the newspaper said. Though the specific issuance
quota and timing need approvals by the Finance Ministry, the scale of local
government bonds is expected to expand for the year ahead, the official said.
The further sharp expansion of household lending should not be encouraged,
as the high leverage ratio of Chinese residents is an increasing risk, The Paper
reported late Wednesday citing Li Yang, the chairman of National Institution for
Finance & Development(NIFD). The leverage ratio among residents has increased to
52.2% in the third quarter of 2018, from 49% in 2017, with the total debt by
households increasing to CNY46.2 trillion, The Paper said.
Replenishing China commercial banks' capital will help boost lending,
better support the real economy, ease the financing difficulty of private and
small companies, as well as crack down the shadow banking, the Economic Daily
reported, citing Ma Jun, a member of the PBOC's Monetary Policy Committee. Ma's
comments came after the central bank's statement yesterday on the plan to launch
the issuance of perpetual bonds to help banks replenish capital. The measure
will also increase banks' capacity to resist risks and expand credits, which
will boost confidence in the capital markets, especially for banking stocks, the
Daily said citing Ma.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.