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GERMANY: Splits Emerge In CDU Over AfD Support For Immigration Bill

GERMANY
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It is unclear whether the high-profile Influx Limitation Act will pass today in the Bundestag, or indeed even be debated. At late notice, liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP) leader in the Bundestag Christian Dürr has proposed the legislation be sent back to the Interior Committee and the debate postponed until 11 Feb. Such a move would come as an embarrassing blow to opposition leader Friedrich Merz just weeks ahead of the 23 Feb federal election. 

  • On 29 Jan the Bundestag passed a motion on the opposition centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU)'s five-point plan for limiting inward migration, controversially with the support of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).
  • After this, it was seen as almost certain the Influx Limitation Act would pass given that the far-left nationalist Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) had indicated it would switch its stance from abstention to support.
  • Bild reports splits in the CDU have emerged on the bill. Around 10 moderate CDU lawmakers could object following a high-profile intervention from former Chancellor Angela Merkel, who criticised CDU head Friedrich Merz for allowing the passage of the motion with AfD support. N-TV reports around 15 FDP members intend to miss the vote, indicating their disapproval.
  • Robert Habeck from the environmentalist Greens has indicated the CDU's acceptance of the AfD's support on Wednesday could limit the prospect of the two parties working together post-election. This would limit the CDU to working with the centre-left Social Democrats or - in an extremely low-probability, high-impact scenario - breaking the firewall and working with the AfD.
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It is unclear whether the high-profile Influx Limitation Act will pass today in the Bundestag, or indeed even be debated. At late notice, liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP) leader in the Bundestag Christian Dürr has proposed the legislation be sent back to the Interior Committee and the debate postponed until 11 Feb. Such a move would come as an embarrassing blow to opposition leader Friedrich Merz just weeks ahead of the 23 Feb federal election. 

  • On 29 Jan the Bundestag passed a motion on the opposition centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU)'s five-point plan for limiting inward migration, controversially with the support of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).
  • After this, it was seen as almost certain the Influx Limitation Act would pass given that the far-left nationalist Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) had indicated it would switch its stance from abstention to support.
  • Bild reports splits in the CDU have emerged on the bill. Around 10 moderate CDU lawmakers could object following a high-profile intervention from former Chancellor Angela Merkel, who criticised CDU head Friedrich Merz for allowing the passage of the motion with AfD support. N-TV reports around 15 FDP members intend to miss the vote, indicating their disapproval.
  • Robert Habeck from the environmentalist Greens has indicated the CDU's acceptance of the AfD's support on Wednesday could limit the prospect of the two parties working together post-election. This would limit the CDU to working with the centre-left Social Democrats or - in an extremely low-probability, high-impact scenario - breaking the firewall and working with the AfD.