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200-dma resistance for 5s30s curve holds again

GILTS
  • Gilt futures are still lower on the day (unlike Bunds and Treasuries) and still compared to Friday gilt's are lower (also unlike Bunds and Treasuries).
  • Despite this, gilts have reversed much of their early sell-off and were within a pip of closing the gap on the chart, but hit a high of 118.34 and bounced lower (Friday's low was 118.35).
  • However, from a technical perspective we are also tracking the 5s30s curve. We have hit resistance around the 200-dma again earlier this morning (having done so twice in March and in April). The 200-dma has provided consistent resistance recently. A bounce off of it again today suggests that the market isn't ready for a steeper curve yet.

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