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Free Access2024 Deficit Goal Raised to 4.5% of GDP, Nagy Says
- Hungary's preliminary trade deficit was EUR 187.53m in December, according to the Central Statistical Office. Imports fell 7.6% m/m while exports fell 20.3% m/m. The statistics office said the negative turn was the result of a deteriorating energy balance on the import side and a decline in exports of the machinery industry.
- Speaking in an interview with Index on Sunday, Economy Minister Marton Nagy said the government budget deficit target would be 4.5% of gross domestic product for this year, up from 2.9% planned earlier. He forecast the budget deficit narrowing to 3.7% of GDP in 2025 and to 3% later on.
- Commenting on the central bank’s smaller-than-expected 75bp rate cut last week, Nagy noted that the NBH is still “far from” supporting the nation’s economic growth. The minister said he would have expected the large decline in Hungary’s inflation rate to have prompted a bigger easing move.
- Looking ahead, CPI data is the highlight of the week on Friday (Est: +4.3% y/y; Prior: +5.5% y/y). Industrial Production (Est: -7.8% y/y), Retail Sales (Est: -2/2% y/y) and Budget Balance data are also all on the docket this week.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.