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Gold deals ~$3/oz firmer at typing to print ~$1,765/oz, a little below session highs, but continuing to edge away from Wednesday’s worst levels at typing.
- An earlier blip higher in the precious metal was facilitated by initial worry from some quarters re: geopolitical risks after news that formal U.S.-Taiwan bilateral trade negotiations will begin later this year, with the event ultimately providing little by way of meaningful direction for the space.
- To recap Wednesday’s price action, the precious metal hit fresh two-week lows ($1,759.8/oz) on an uptick in the USD (DXY) and U.S. real yields, with a minor bid from the market’s dovish interpretation to the latest FOMC minutes evaporating, seeing gold close ~$14/oz weaker for a third straight lower daily close.
- Measures of investor interest remains weak, with known ETF holdings of gold compiled by BBG declining for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday, while the SPDR Gold Trust’s (GLD) holdings of gold has fallen to its lowest level in seven months.
- From a technical perspective, gold maintains a firmer tone after the breach of trendline resistance at $1,794.6/oz previously. However, a stronger reversal amidst recent moves lower may threaten the bullish theme, with initial support at $1,754.4/oz (Aug 3 low, key short-term support) in focus. On the upside, initial resistance is seen at $1,807.9/oz (Aug 10 high and bull trigger).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.