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Asia has started the week with a defensive....>

FOREX
FOREX: Asia has started the week with a defensive feel as markets absorbed
weekend news flow. The ever increasing U.S.-China tensions and a brief exchange
of fire across the Korean DMZ have captured attention, inspiring a flight to
safety. JPY leads gains in the G10 basket, with USD and CHF also well bid.
Liquidity is thinned as China and Japan observe public holidays.
- Continued sabre rattling between Washington and Beijing has helped USD/CNH
higher, though the rate has already pared gains. Elsewhere in regional EM FX,
onshore KRW reopened after the long weekend and trades on a softer footing,
playing catch-up to the latest risk-off developments. South Korean Y/Y CPI
inflation slowed more than expected to +0.1% from +1.0% in April.
- Risk aversion has amplified the impact of softening crude prices on oil-tied
FX, with NOK underperforming all of its G10 peers as we type. USD/MXN briefly
showed above Friday's high and remains elevated.
- A flurry of M'fing PMI readings from across the world, Australia's building
approvals, as well as U.S. factory orders and final durable goods take focus
today. The ECB will publish its Survey of Professional Forecasters.

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