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Free AccessASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS HIGHER, CURVES FLATTER
US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries prices open higher, flatter after overnight
gains on safe-haven buying spurred by ongoing U.S./N.Korea tensions. Cash 10Y is
at 2.199% vs. 2.189% session low yield of 7am ET. All next await the 8:30am ET
July CPI.
- TOKYO hours saw Japanese markets closed for a holiday; will be Obon holidays
in Japan next week. Tsys had carry-over risk-off bid for rates added to Thu's
curve flattening rally, bank and real$ accts bought 10s and 30s. FX-acct buying
as USD weakened. Japanese lifers also bought US Tsys, as did Japanese banks and
credit funds.
- LONDON: Tsys lagged German Bunds but held gains; mild prop and fast$ selling
arose in 10Y notes. BMO analysts said cash 10Ys most active with 39% market
share.
- US SWAPS: Spreads ran steady/mixed, with spread curve a bit flatter.
- US EURODLR FUTURES: Mildly higher for the most part.
- O/N REPO: Tsy 2Y note remains tight; others quiet.
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE: Quiet; but in junk bonds, Tesla Inc.
brings a $1.5B 8Y/NC3Y note to price today.
EGB SUMMARY: There was an initial rush higher in the Bund contract as investors
traded geo-political threats. However, the quite dramatic move higher ran out of
steam after a couple of hours.
- Contacts reported that government bond and swap trading desks were quiet, in
terms of volumes and noise and once again, pointed to a futures markets being
the driver.
- The Bund yield bull flattened strongly, the 2Y dropped 1.7bp and the 10Y by
3.1bp to 0.385%. Yet, in the rally over the past couple of days the Bund
contract volatility skew has switched its leaning from investors hedging the
downside in price, to higher implied vols on the upside. This brings at least
the threat of an ALM driven move if rates head lower.
- All EGB markets are underperforming Germany and Italy is leading the
underperformance. The Bund-BTP spread has reached 165.6bp after a 3.6bp widening
this morning. Not helping BTPs is an IlSole24Ore article talking of potential
legal issues for pension reforms in October that could a significant influence
on State finances.
GILTS: Block Trade in Gilt 10y futures earlier with 3062 contracts done at
128.06. Sources said it was a sale; trade was done prior to 6:30 am ET.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.