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Free AccessASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS WEAKER
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries slid on firmer 0.6% July retail sales but then
rose midmorning on dip buying and as stocks softened.
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open NY Tuesday lower still after overnight risk-on
mood as N.Korea leader Kim Jong Un said he's been briefed on his military
ability to hit Guam with missiles, but not doing such tests, watching US
moves/signals. Risk assets gain thus again after Mon risk-on mood. Pres. Trump
to sign executive order on certain infrastructure projects later today.
- TOKYO: Asian stocks gained with Japan's Nikkei +1.1%. Tsys declined after
N.Korea comments aired, rangey into UK cross amid two-way flows in 3Y, 5Y notes.
Asian banks bought 2Y-5Y notes.
- LONDON: Lighter volume on Assumption Day holiday in some of Europe (Austria,
Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain and Catholic
parts of Germany, Switzerland.) Misc acct sales in US intermeds to long end vs.
real$ buying short end, credit-tied 30Y buying. Some sold belly/buy 10Y. Roll
volume picks up in Sep/Dec futures.
- US SWAPS: Spreads mildly tighter into Amazon debt deal estimated $16B+ with
seven tranches via BAML/GS/JPM.
- O/N RP: Current 2Y notes remain tight once again.
EGBs have suffered alongside US Treasuries and global bond markets as the threat
from the Korean peninsular subsides. Bunds are also suffering from a lack of
liquidity as many trading centres are on holiday because of Assumption Day.
- Italian BTPs have come under particular attention and the 15Y BTP is currently
5.5bp higher alongside the Bund-BTP 10Y spread widening 1bp to 162.7bp.
- There has been no economic data and no bill or bond supply.
- The German Constitutional Court referred a decision on the legality of the
ECB's QE program to the ECJ although the limited lifespan of the QE program
means that by the time the ECJ considers the case, there will not be much QE
that needs doing. However, the report said there were questions of whether PSPP
is compatible with the ban on monetary budget financing.
- The Bund yield is currently 3.3bp higher at 0.436%.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts opened weaker alongside all of the other major bond markets
as the threat from the Korean peninsular was downgraded in the minds of the
market.
- The initial drop at the Gilt open was quickly caught as the Bund contract
rallied. Thereafter, the weak UK CPI data gave a further shove higher to the
Gilt contract.
- Calendar roll activity picked up as banks are generally suggesting that longs
roll early. There isn't much duration difference between the two contracts and
so distortions caused by this are limited.
- The UK has laid out its strategy for the Brexit negotiation, which includes a
transition period inside a customs union. However, it is a wish as opposed to a
certainty that this will eventually occur.
- Gilt prices have surrendered much of their recovered ground in the past hour
as the Bund market has been driven 30 cents lower in very thin trading
conditions. Currently, the 10Y Gilt yield is 2.1bp higher on the day at 1.088%.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.