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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Continues To Drift Lower For Q1

US DATA
  • The Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker has revised Q1 real GDP growth down a little further to 2.1% annualized from 2.3% with the Mar 14 update and 2.5% from Mar 7.
  • The tracker has generally trended lower since the earliest vintages for Q1.
  • Latest downward revisions to personal consumption (2.2% to 1.9% - now a full point lower than Mar 7) and private domestic investment (3.0% to 2.7%).
  • If accurate it would see a return to the 2.15% averaged in 1H23 prior to the far stronger than expected 4.0% averaged in 2H23.
  • There’s still plenty of time ahead of the Q1 GDP advance (Apr 25), with Q4 accounts still to be finalized next week (Mar 28).

Source: Atlanta Fed

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