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Free AccessAUD/USD Can't Hold Above 0.6500, Hits Fresh Cyclical Lows
AUD/USD couldn't hold above 0.6500 late in the NY session, trading to fresh cyclical lows just under 0.6440. We sit around 0.6460 presently, slightly above closing levels. Downside targets continue to be revised lower from a technical standpoint, 0.6402 the May 15 2020 low and beyond that is 0.6373, the low on May 4 from that year, which are now potential focus points. Yesterday’s intra-day high of 0.6550 is a near term resistance point.
- The data calendar is empty until tomorrow's retail sales prints for August (+0.4% expected, versus +1.3% prior).
- Cross asset signals remain a significant headwind to the currency. Equities were weaker, while the VIX closed above 32%. The MOVE index is also almost back to early July cyclical highs.
- The relentless rise in core short end yields continued, led by gilts.
- The Bloomberg aggregate commodity index dropped 1.6%, while base metals fell by 2.58%. Iron ore steadied though, edging back up to $96.55/tonne. Onshore steel prices in China rose yesterday.
- The A$ was middle of the pack from a G10 standpoint for Monday’s session. AUD/NZD continued to push higher though; the pair is now through 1.1400 (last 1.1450).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.