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Free AccessBMO's Ian Lyngen noted the "NFP.......>
US DATA REACT: BMO's Ian Lyngen noted the "NFP came in at -33k during Sept vs.
80k consensus as the BLS noted that -105k drop in food services reflects the
storms; surely there are more. There were upward revisions in Aug to +169k from
+156k prior although the 2-mo revision were -38k."
- He adds Treasuries had sold off "as the market looks past the weak headlines
and focuses on AHE as the YoY rate came in at +2.9% Sept vs. +2.7% Aug (revised
up from +2.5% prior). The MoM pace was +0.5% Sept vs. +0.3% in Aug. That said,
the BLS noted 'he change in earnings reflects both ongoing labor market trends
and possible effects of the hurricanes.'"
- Lyngen said the Sept. Unemployment Rate "improved to 4.2%, far better than
consensus and prior. Lowest UNR since 2001 with the BLS reporting no discernible
impact from the storm (really?) While the BLS has stressed that "it is not
possible to quantify precisely the net effect on employment in each industry,"
it is clear that the market is willing to look beyond the one-off impact of the
storms."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.