Free Trial

BofA Maintain 90$/bbl Brent Forecast for 2024 on Supply Deficit

OIL

Oil prices could break out to the upside of the recent range due to peaking US interest rates, OPEC+ supply cuts, and Russia's export cuts according to Bank of America.

  • BofA maintains a Brent forecast of 80$/bbl in Q3 and 82$/bbl in Q4 and a forecast of 90$/bbl for average Brent prices in 2024 due to tighter balances.
  • OPEC+ has already implemented meaningful crude oil output cuts in recent months, leading to narrower Brent-Dubai and Brent-Saudi Heavy differentials.
  • Oil discounts due to the price cap have finally started to have an impact on Russian finances leading to more serious moves about reducing exports to rein in Brent-Urals differentials.
  • The US SPR switch from releases into refills will help set up a deficit of just over 1mbpd in H2 2023.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.