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Free AccessBonds Extend Lows
- Curves moving steeper (3M10Y +3.904 at -113.097, 2Y10Y +1.049 at -48.471) with bonds extending lows in the last few minutes, no obvious headline or Block post driver. At the moment, Mar'24 30Y futures on low of 118-18 (-14), 10Y at 110-02 (-6.5).
- Incoming Tsy supply ($50B 3Y Note auction (91282CJP7) and $68B 26W bills Dec-11 1300; US Tsy $37B 10Y Note auction R/O (91282CJJ1) and $75B 13W Bills at 1300ET) has generated pre-auction short sets, while others ply the sidelines ahead of the week's data (CPI, PPI) and event risk (FOMC).
- Despite this morning's move, trend direction in Treasuries remains up. The contract has pulled back from its recent highs, however, the move lower appears to be a correction. 110-25, the 1.00 projection of the Oct 19 - Nov 3 - Nov 13 price swing, has recently been cleared. This reinforces the bull theme and a continuation higher would open 111-19, the 1.236 projection. Note that MA studies are also in a bull-mode position. Initial key support is at 108-18+, the Nov 27 low.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.