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Bullish Turnaround For UK Short End, But Flattening Persists

GILTS

A bullish turnaround for the UK short end today: 2Y yields are down 10bp since just before the weak US ISM Manufacturing data, and are off nearly 15bp from the high - last down 5.5bp for the session at 3.39%.

  • The curve had bear flattened early in the session on the oil price spike but it's now bull flatter on the session (10s are -7.6bp at 3.41%). The 2s10s spread has just stayed in positive territory throughout, bottoming at 0.2bp (it was last inverted on Mar 23).
  • Terminal BoE Bank rate pricing is down 2.2bp on the day to 4.64% (by contrast, Fed and ECB terminal pricing is up).

UK 2s10s IntradaySource: BBG

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