Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
Reporting on key macro data at the time of release.
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
- Emerging MarketsEmerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
- MNI ResearchMNI Research
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
- About Us
Sign up now for free access to this content.
Please enter your details below and select your areas of interest.
- USD/ZAR trades +0.35% higher this morning, broadly tracking buying pressure on the BBDXY in early trading as mixed sentiment filters through from APAC.
- The cross ended yesterday's session -0.36% lower, with price action finding support at the 200dma at 14.60 to form a third successive long candle wick to the downside as buyers stepped in at dynamic support from the moving averages.
- Yesterday's SARB has been classified as cautiously dovish following minor adjustments to 2021 CPI at 4.3% vs 4.2% prior while 2023 & 2024 forecasts remain the same at 4.2% & 4.5% - reflecting broadly balanced medium-term pricing vectors.
- As we expected, the decision was unanimous, but Kganyago guided cautiously towards short-term risks to food, fuel wage and producer inflation being to the upside.
- The focus on medium-term disinflationary factors over short-term transitory pressures keeps out base case for unchanged rates out to 1Q22 intact, but will be watching for near-term risks to forecast revisions in October/November.
- The cross is currently caught between the 200dma (14.56) and 61.8% Fib (14.88) looking for clearer directional triggers.
- Intraday Sup1: 14.6978, Sup2: 14.6072, Res1: 14.8632, Res2: 14.9065