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CAD Sees A Helping But Reduced Hand From Oil

CANADA
  • USDCAD pulls back from an early high of 1.3063 that had briefly extended yesterday’s push higher to sit at 1.3016 (-0.3%).
  • NOK and CAD outperform other majors as oil pushes higher despite fading correlation for USDCAD.
  • After some resistance yesterday, 2Y GoC yields pushed through cycle highs for fresh highs since Jan’08, helping limit the decline in the 2Y Can-US differential to +15bps from closer to +20bps late last week but still running at levels last seen sustained in the first half of July.
  • Bullish price action sees initial resistance at the session high of 1.3063, clearance of which would open the 1.31 handle with 1.3107 (76.4% retrace of Jul 14 – Aug 11 downleg). Alternatively, support is eyed at 1.2972 (Aug 22 low) should risk sentiment improve.



USDCADSource: Bloomberg


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