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CBA Lowers Growth Expectations for 2022

CZECHIA
  • The Czech Banking Association lowered its growth projections for this year to 3.7%, down from 3.9% in its November outlook.
  • We previously saw that the aggressive tightening cycle run by the CNB to combat inflation could start to significantly weigh on the economic activity in the medium term.
  • The chart below shows how strongly the 2Y change in Czech 2Y yield has led industrial production (proxy for economic activity) in the past 15 years (6M lead).
  • Yesterday, Czech Cabinet approved 2022 budget with 280bn CZK deficit according to CTK, which was proposed by Finance Ministry this week.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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