Free Trial

CDU Retains Lead In Polls Ahead Of Crucial Leadership Election

GERMANY

Latest opinion poll shows the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union of Chancellor Angela Merkel maintaining its position as by a distance the most popular political force in Germany. With the election of a new CDU leader taking place tomorrow, there will be notable interest in seeing whether the polling numbers hold up for the winning candidate.

  • Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll: CDU/CSU: 37% (=), Greens: 20% (=), Social Democrats: 15% (-1), Alternative for Germany: 10% (=). The Left: 8% (=), Free Democrats: 5% (=). +/- vs. 7-9 Dec. Fieldwork: 12-14 Jan. Sample size: 1,262.
  • Based on the poll above, it is unlikely that the CDU/CSU would be able to form a gov't solely with the centre-right pro-business Free Democrats (the preferred coalition of CDU leadership frontrunner Friedrich Merz). Instead the most likely post-election governing coalition remains between the CDU/CSU and the centre-left Greens, an option believed to be favoured by the other two CDU leadership candidates, centrists Armin Laschet and Norbert Rottgen.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.