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Chilean Stocks Continue Surge, Yields Fall

CHILE
  • The S&P Ipsa advanced 1.9% after the result of the presidential primaries the biggest gain in the world yesterday, in the face of global equity indices coming under severe pressure. Sentiment has continued into Tuesday's session, with the nation's benchmark index rallying another 1.7%, while Camara swap rates have fallen between 3-7bps across the curve.
  • However, yesterday's firm dollar/EM weakness prompted USDCLP appreciation, which was exacerbated on the move through Friday's 758.45 high. With a technically bullish outlook, an extension may open 769.99, Nov 30, 2020 high.
  • Today's Peso price action is more supportive. Despite MXN weakness today, the Chilean Peso is 0.26% stronger against the greenback, joining BRL as outperformers in the region.

  • JPMorgan saw the results of the primary elections in Chile as a positive surprise, prompting them to reduce bearish CLP FX and rates positions. Despite this, the bank does maintain a bearish medium term bias.
  • They comment that the market's worst-case election scenario has been averted and some political risk premia should deservedly be taken out of market pricing.

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