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Citing seasonal surge in corporate.........>

US SWAPS
US SWAPS: Citing seasonal surge in corporate issuance, Citigroup strategists are
giving nod to 5yr spds tighteners from now to just after Labor day (Sep 4)
saying the sector has narrowed 8bp median over past 5 years. Citi prefers to
"position for this using LIBOR spreads as the historical spread tightening was
less prominent in OIS spreads." If that were to play out optimally, the 5yr spd
(+7.5 currently) would be back to steady/inverted levels. Taking a look at
historical closing levels from mid August to early September over the last 5
years, the median change is closer to half that at 4.4 bps. A target around 3.0
from the current 7.5 seems more realistic, particularly given recent
geopolitical concerns that can quickly spur risk-off paying as witnessed last
week.

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